What Comes Next in This Recession? Lessons in Credit and Risk Management

What if the Fed executes a perfect soft landing? What if there is a hard landing? What if there is a crash landing? The reality is that no banker or risk manager knows what will happen next, but there is a consensus in the industry that the probability of a recession is elevated.

If we had perfect information would our institution weather the storm differently? The first step is understanding the potential range of outcomes and what that means for our balance sheet and risk management process. Analyze changing credit and risk levels, and strategies to stay ahead of uncertain market dynamics.

Learning Objectives:

• Understand the potential range of outcomes of a recession.

• Learn what a recession means for the balance sheet and risk management process.

• Outline strategies to stay ahead of uncertain market dynamics.

Recorded September 19, 2023.